Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.173621 0.204686 0.239415 0.281078 0.329666 0.384502 0.451054
2025-09-14 0.127181 0.167070 0.216394 0.281708 0.365762 0.470123 0.609370
2025-09-21 0.099127 0.141223 0.197345 0.277312 0.387966 0.535286 0.745877
2025-09-28 0.081247 0.123798 0.184162 0.275508 0.409626 0.598602 0.884228
2025-10-05 0.072380 0.116850 0.183388 0.289387 0.453063 0.695021 1.078328
2025-10-12 0.066245 0.112621 0.185386 0.306727 0.502637 0.804761 1.303579
2025-10-19 0.059424 0.105995 0.182352 0.315171 0.538595 0.896781 1.510931
2025-10-26 0.052376 0.097756 0.175309 0.315662 0.561003 0.968818 1.693084
2025-11-02 0.044945 0.087628 0.163528 0.306199 0.564900 1.009978 1.827233
2025-11-09 0.038017 0.077310 0.149912 0.291451 0.557268 1.029877 1.925722
2025-11-16 0.034051 0.071997 0.144638 0.291089 0.575146 1.095626 2.111314
2025-11-23 0.029712 0.065279 0.135770 0.282639 0.576617 1.131310 2.244778
2025-11-30 0.026944 0.061604 0.132818 0.286326 0.603741 1.221012 2.496574
2025-12-07 0.024149 0.057468 0.128443 0.286728 0.624791 1.302247 2.743062
2025-12-14 0.021317 0.052769 0.122183 0.282233 0.635061 1.363090 2.955446
2025-12-21 0.019079 0.049051 0.117487 0.280396 0.650536 1.435857 3.199837
2025-12-28 0.018225 0.048502 0.119803 0.294512 0.702458 1.590024 3.632042
2026-01-04 0.017646 0.048534 0.123452 0.312147 0.764333 1.771868 4.143081
2026-01-11 0.016553 0.047068 0.123311 0.320734 0.806312 1.914358 4.581916
2026-01-18 0.015127 0.044480 0.120046 0.321234 0.829148 2.016138 4.939176
2026-01-25 0.013363 0.040666 0.113133 0.311610 0.826151 2.058077 5.162137
2026-02-01 0.011575 0.036469 0.104604 0.296611 0.807806 2.061738 5.294517
2026-02-08 0.010607 0.034496 0.101743 0.296243 0.826773 2.157099 5.658895